No Moore's Law, the world would be like?



Moore's Law To understand what contribution to society, just think, if in 1965 one of the founders of Intel's Gordon? Moore's famous assertion not raised, the world will become what, you know .

Human culture sociologist Genevieve Bell said, "This is incredible."

Adrian Valenzuela processor TI's director of product marketing, said, "It's so far-reaching significance, I almost can not describe with words."

Electronic Engineering, University of California, Berkeley professor of computer science and Jeff Bokor says, "It's a sea change."

The evaluation is not an they rightly emphasized, will bring a judgment of how much influence the world. Moore's Law is a computer processor (ie chip) manufacturing guidelines. It provides direction for the regular innovation is to promote the development of the industry self-fulfilling prophecy.

You're happy iPhone 6 so light, right? Then you have to thank Moore's Law.

First, let us look at the effect of Moore's Law in history, and to clarify some misconceptions. Most importantly, Moore's Law is not like Newton's law of motion as the Three Laws. In 1965 published an article entitled "added more elements in an integrated circuit," the article, studying chemistry and physics Moore predicted in an integrated circuit - the computer's brain - the number of elements that can be integrated each year doubled, thereby greatly enhancing the performance of your computer.

10 years later, he revised his forecast to double every two years.

This prediction did not start widely recognized technology sector, until Caltech professor Carver Mead proposed a "Moore's Law" this argument in 1975. In 50 years time, this rule has become the industry determined objectives to be achieved - and indeed been implemented.

A test of self-prophecy

Moore's Law is for transistors that can switch control signals, so that the device can process the information and complete the task. Transistor is like a brick constitute the brain, found in smartphones, tablets, and among all digital devices.

The more transistors on a single chip integration, this chip to process information faster.

In order to achieve Moore's Law, chip makers had to work hard to reduce the size of transistors to be able to put more transistors are integrated together. Original transistors have half an inch long. The latest chip included in today's transistor is smaller than a virus, almost small enough to unimaginable proportions.

Chip makers, including Intel and Samsung are struggling, including the chip can be made smaller.

But when it comes to Moore's Law, the size of the volume is not the most important. More importantly, the device will get better as time goes on, more intelligent such thoughts.

This rule makes the device smaller, while performance is greatly improved. Ford used modern navigation system is produced by Texas Instruments processor, its performance is almost lunar astronaut in 1969 to help the navigation computer 180 times.

6 performance of Apple's iPhone mobile phone is almost 100 times the 1975 production of IBM computer, which is enough to occupy the entire room behemoth. iPhone pricing beginning at $ 650, while the price of 10 years ago, a desktop computer will be between $ 1,000 to $ 4,000, and the performance is still far.

The most critical factor is the time where Moore's law: the number of transistors every two years, focused on the circuit can be accommodated will be doubled, which means that the entire technology industry - from consumer electronics manufacturers, to manufacture the chip production equipment manufacturers, and in the middle of every aspect - we have maintained the same rate of progress.

Bell said, "Moore's Law has created a metronome."

Moore's Law has set a all companies must keep up the rhythm, otherwise you will be left behind. Moore said, "Moore's Law is not described in the progress of the industry, but rather to promote the progress of the industry."

Although he did not think this law will always be right, but the chip maker did not seem to slow down the rate of progress. Professor of Microelectronics of the University of California, Berkeley, Tsu-Jae King Liu said, "This is a self-fulfilling prophecy, so it is for the entire industry, as a rule the same."

Moore's Law is no life

Now, everyone agrees that technology will certainly be more developed, more efficient and cheaper. If we have not yet powerful enough processor performance to drive driverless cars, another year or two it will certainly have.

If there is no Moore's Law, which granted the assumption that it will not come true. Without a unifying force to promote the progress of the industry, integrated circuits and components may also remain in the state decades ago.

Valenzuela said, "This is an exponential curve, if there is no Moore's Law, we may still in place from the starting point of this curve is not far. I am very glad not need to use the 1980s as a mobile phone."

Intel's Bell imagine a more terrible is not the integrated circuit in the world, everything is mechanized, smart phones and even modern telephone service does not exist. She said, "The Internet is simply not the case."

(Author: Roger via cnet)

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